Predicting the demise of the owner-operator
I got my first commercial truck licence in 1988. Millions of miles and smiles later, I want to address a question that has been around for pretty much my entire career: Is the death of the owner-operator nigh?
It’s been predicted many times, discounted many times, and there really has been no clear prediction that I’ve been comfortable getting behind.

In my early years, I hoped that there would still be a career opportunity for me as an owner-operator. I worked toward that goal and achieved it fairly early on in my career.
For roughly 20 years, I was either a single O/O, had several trucks running under my own company banner, or was the manager of my own division. It was quite a ride — sometimes bumpier than a Manitoba highway and at other times as smooth as a new U.S. Interstate. Just a normal trucking career.
I have written in the past that the emissions aftertreatment systems – namely diesel exhaust fluid — was the death knell for me. In the space of three years the replacement cost went up by about $40,000.
Emissions-related downtime
I already had a DEF truck, and the cost of running that was insane. Warranty coverage was good to me, but the killer is always the downtime. No matter how you cut it, days lost cut directly into your bottom line. If you’re not reliable, it always hurts your relationships with your customers.
Today, as I look at the spec’s for a 2027, I find that old anger bubbling up that I thought had passed. Anger at engineers who don’t know what cold is like. Anger at politicians who think the trucking industry is a football they can kick around; ignoring their own wanton waste and hypocrisy.
At Californians, who have destroyed their state and are bent on destroying everyone else to level the playing field. Lastly, anger at trucking associations on both sides of the border who don’t care to address issues correctly.
This industry has gone mad. While some are so obsessed with Driver Inc. or “leveling the playing field,” we are on the brink of crisis. If you think it’s bad now, just wait until 2027.
Say ‘No’ to cheap freight
You’ll beg the government for more handouts or cheaper labor and I’m willing to bet they won’t care. Why? Instead of cleaning up your own act by sticking to your guns and refusing to haul cheap freight and treating your current drivers with respect, you’re bleating about nonsense.
The same people who want others to pay their taxes will toss a load to a fly-by-night company who will third-party their freight out for a few dollars less. As soon as the load is on someone else’s insurance, you cease to care. Hypocrisy. Greed. Don’t broker out loads for less than cost if you really want to fix trucking’s problems. Don’t try to get O/Os to support your business by paying them less than a living wage.
The big players in this industry have helped create these issues. Don’t like a veteran driver standing up for what’s right? Listen to them, instead of begging government for foreign workers or rookies.
Has everyone forgotten the “never-never” lease program? Where you lease your truck from your company and you never manage to get it paid out because the company will starve you in the last two years? Then they turn around and sell the truck at a tidy profit? Oh wait, that still goes on…but Driver Inc. is the problem!
What are you going to do in less than two years? Who will be able to afford to be an O/O at today’s low pay and high costs?
Plan for world without O/Os
I hope all the companies crying right now have a plan in place to be 100% company-owned very shortly.
Are you angry enough yet to change? How about this? Start lobbying against the insane emission controls. Yeah, you heard me right. Politically incorrect, but that’s where your focus should be. I’m not OK with current emissions, but let’s not make trucking exponentially worse.
So yes, I’m predicting right now that in a very short few years, there will be no more owner-operators. That’s really sad. I guess I’m beyond anger now.
There should be room for small companies, big players, single O/Os, niche carriers and people who just want to drive.
Many years ago, I started writing, hoping that I could make a difference. I wanted to discuss solutions, not rehash old problems. Just call me Don Quixote.
Have your say
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Certain trucking companies ( some who have over 500 units and self insurance) are using foreign (student) truck drivers to under bid owner ops or small business with under 10 company trucks and another 10 or less owner ops have caused the current situation in my opinion along with the high cost of running a newer unit with emissions control. This can be turned around but only if Ont and Alberta have gov insurance like B C and Manitoba or Saskatchewan have and detention pay and require all companies with to limit imported drivers to 5 new ones per year and they must be on payroll with hourly wage and overtime as per a mid or high stream wage level in my opinion.
i was an o/o for 25 years it used to be good but afterabout 2005 it started goning down hill it was time to sell and get out boy did i ever do the right thing cdn tire ault sealtest snider foods are no more
Hey David, How are you? Long time no see buddy. Well I’ve been out of it going on two years now, and being a Canadian working for a US company did have its benefits, but my friends who are still driving are starting to starve right now…Some sit in Utah saying no to 3000$ US loads back East because they can’t afford to run that cheap.
Start lobbying you say? Canadian Truck drivers? Are you kidding me? HA! The very first week I started driving there was all this talk about drivers shutting down for two days to “stick it” to the bosses. That day I sat in Montreal thinking I’m going to shut down, I didn’t really give a crap because it was a new job so if they fired me, they fired me.
David, nobody shut down, it was business as usual. It was also the day I stopped listening to truck drivers.
People say once Trump is re-elected (lol) things will be “great again” I don’t see how considering America has been breaking records when it comes to drilling, and it still cost over a grand to fill up with fuel.
But I get you old friend, the life of the O/O is slowly fading into the wind.
Nicely written. I think you read my mind.
Very well put. Trucking associations have failed to voice 90% of industry’s genuine concerns but are busy to keep the bigger players happy and lobbying for them. A small carrier that has all company owned trucks would not survive either because of the ownership costs involved and will always be chasing to achieve the financial ratios set by their bank as covenants. With owner ops, and small carriers gone that leaves the “level playing field” for the bigger players.
Great article. Sincerely……. HOWEVER …..
My only observation is that the comments are always (OK, ‘usually’) negative regarding Truck News columns. That said, “Stephen Webster” always has something to say about everything and/or anything. He is usually the first commenter but this time got beat out by someone else regarding this well-written article. “Stephen” must have been having an afternoon nap and let things slip. It even happens to me from time-to-time.
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I was a owner op that was leased to a certain co. and was injured in a truck crash that was hit from behind. I volunteer with homeless and disabled I have helped with a nonprofit for 5 yrs that helped many homeless and disabled . Yes I also put a lot of time and. Effort into helping with those in tents . I am liked by some people and hated by others I have been a owner ops before the crash that made me homeless. I now am ok and still will keep fighting for lease and owners ops and company drivers that end up homeless. I am against certain actions that leave truck drivers and others homeless. I like truck news and they do a very good job and give both sides of most issues even when we disagree. I am a director of a nonprofit that works with homeless
Pure Evil here on this earth!
I agree with you 100% foreign workers is not the answer, lack of experience .and a load of electronic nonsense. Its so expensive and doesn’t help.
The industry is in a terrible place right now. I am sure every company, with the exception of those running the Drivers Inc. model, are feeling the same as you and I. Good operators and companies will not survive long under the current conditions and the future is grim. When is enough, enough?
I agree with you on everything you said in this article, and I hope it reached enough people to make a small difference. I own an older Pete with a Cat engine, I can’t even look at California loads, not that I want them, but I should be able to carry them regardless. This is still the United States of America correct? I could have bought a newer truck, but friends of mine with new Peterbilts weren’t happy until they had them deleted, at an expense that would save them money. Praying for common sense to take hold in our country.
This is a powerful and timely perspective—one that definitely resonates with what many in the industry are seeing firsthand. At Aerolink Carrier LLC, we’ve noticed how quickly the landscape is shifting, especially with increased regulations and cost pressures that make it harder for owner-operators to stay afloat. That said, there’s still a sense of resilience in the community. Many independent drivers continue to find ways to adapt, whether it’s by leveraging smarter dispatch solutions or carving out niche lanes. The challenges are real, but so is the determination to remain independent. Thanks for opening up this important discussion.
I am in that quandary right now. Do I risk replacing our 2019, with a 2025, or maintain the status quo until our 2019 dies? Trucks are not going to get cheaper, I firmly believe a large shortage of quality operators is coming quickly. The question, as always, are quality operators valued and paid accordingly?